The age profile of people who died in a given There are therefore year therefore depends strongly on the size of the generations born in the past. marked by significant variations, There are therefore whether it be the birth troughs during the two world wars of the 20th century or the baby boom that followed the Second World War. For example, in 2014, 7,200 people died in the year of their 73rd birthday , compared to 11,200 in 2019.
The number of deaths in 2019 is much higher even though the probability of dying at this age decreased between 2014 and 2019. In fact, people aged 73 in 2014 were born in 1941, during the Second World War, a year when there was a “trough” in births, with only 522,000 births (Figure 1) .
Yet our demographic history is
Those who reached the age of 73 in morocco phone number library 2019 were born in 1946, the first year of the baby boom, when there were, on the contrary, many births: 844,000 babies were born in 1946. who could die at the age of 73 in 2019 than in 2014 and, in fact, the number of deaths at this age was actually much higher in 2019 than in 2014. This mechanically contributes to a higher average age of death in 2019.
Figure 1 – Number of births per year from 1901 to 2024
Note: provisional 2024 data
Scope: Metropolitan France until 1993, France excluding the increase may even be greater Mayotte until 2014 and including Mayotte from 2014.
Source: Insee, statistics and civil status estimates.
What interests us is not knowing whether more people die in 2019 than in 2014 because there are more elderly people, but whether mortality conditions are “better” in 2019 than in 2014, that is to say whether they lead to an germany cell number increase in life expectancy or not. The life expectancy indicator, because it “neutralizes” differences in age structures, is the obvious indicator; with the “fictitious generation” reasoning, we apply probabilities of death by age to this generation, without ever involving the size of the generations or the population sizes of a given age.
